Monday, September 30, 2013

Rankings: Week 5

Last season, we developed our own ranking system to try to determine which teams performed the best on the field. The goal was to compare a team, their opponent, the general margin of victory, and the location. And nothing else.

And while the rankings weren't perfect (and none are), it did allow for some good discussion - good enough that it warranted a second year.

The scoring system:
  • Win/Loss
    • Win vs FCS Opponent: 5 pts (-40 pts for loss)
    • Win vs FBS Opponent: 10 pts (-20 pts for loss)
    • Win vs BCS Opponent: 20 pts (-10 pts for loss)
    • Win vs Top-Tier Opponent: 40 pts (-5 pts for loss)
  • Margin of Victory
    • 1.0 Multiplier for 1-10 point win
    • 1.2 Multiplier for 11-20 point win
    • 1.4 Multiplier for 21-30 point win
    • 1.6 Multiplier for 31-40 point win
    • 1.8 Multiplier for 41-50 point win
    • 2.0 Multiplier for >50 point win
  • Location
    • 0.9 Multiplier for Home Game (divide for loss)
    • 1.1 Multiplier for Road Game (divide for loss)
    • 1.0 Mulitplier for Neutral Game (divide for loss)



WEEK
Rank Team 1 2 3 4 5 Average
1 Oregon 9.0 39.6 32.4 -- 28.8 27.45
2 Alabama 28.0 -- 44.0 12.6 25.2 27.45
3 Clemson 36.0 8.1 -- 26.4 32.4 25.73
4 Georgia -4.5 43.2 -- 12.6 36.0 21.81
5 Florida St 30.8 -- 18.0 8.1 26.4 20.83
6 Stanford -- 12.6 13.2 21.6 32.0 19.85
7 Oklahoma 14.4 18.0 14.4 -- 26.4 18.30
8 Northwestern 26.4 25.2 12.6 5.4 -- 17.40
9 No. Illinois 22.0 -- 5.5 4.5 35.2 16.80
10 Washington 14.4 -- 22.0 9.0 21.6 16.75
11 Miami, FL 12.6 36.0 -- 9.0 7.7 16.33
12 UCLA 14.4 -- 26.4 8.1 -- 16.30
13 Ohio St 10.8 14.4 26.4 9.0 18.0 15.72
14 Maryland 7.2 14.4 6.6 32.0 -- 15.05
15 Baylor 9.0 18.0 -- 18.0 -- 15.00
16 Louisville 16.2 7.2 26.4 9.0 -- 14.70
17 Texas Tech 13.2 -- 18.0 12.6 -- 14.60
18 Missouri 8.1 10.8 -- 26.4 12.6 14.48
19 Florida 10.8 -4.5 -- 21.6 26.4 13.56
20 LSU 20.0 14.4 14.4 21.6 -4.5 13.17
21 Michigan 16.2 21.6 9.0 5.5 -- 13.08
22 Ole Miss 22.0 5.4 30.8 -- -6.4 12.96
23 Pittsburgh -7.8 -- 12.6 22.0 21.6 12.11
24 Arizona State -- 9.0 18.0 -5.5 25.2 11.69
25 Georgia Tech 9.0 -- 30.8 18.0 -11.1 11.67
26 Iowa -5.6 5.4 22.0 9.0 26.4 11.45
27 So. Carolina 21.6 -5.5 18.0 -- 11.0 11.29
28 Auburn 18.0 12.6 18.0 -5.5 -- 10.79
29 Texas A&M 12.6 7.2 -5.6 12.6 26.4 10.65
30 Houston 8.1 5.5 -- 11.0 17.6 10.55
31 Central Fla 14.4 8.8 22.0 -- -5.6 9.91
32 Fresno St 18.0 5.4 -- 9.0 5.5 9.48
33 Oklahoma St 21.6 15.4 9.0 -- -9.1 9.23
34 Ea Carolina 5.4 10.8 -11.1 -- 30.8 8.97
35 Virginia Tech -7.0 8.1 11.0 9.0 22.0 8.62
36 Illinois 4.5 25.2 -5.6 -- 7.2 7.84
37 Arizona 7.2 16.2 12.6 -- -5.5 7.64
38 Cincinnati 25.2 -12.7 9.0 6.6 -- 7.02
39 Wisconsin 8.1 8.1 -9.1 28.8 -4.5 6.27
40 NC State 12.6 4.5 -- -6.7 14.4 6.21
41 Penn St 18.0 14.4 -22.2 14.4 -- 6.14
42 Bowling Green 12.6 13.2 -14.5 8.1 10.8 6.03
43 Ball St 6.3 12.6 -18.2 17.6 9.0 5.46
44 Minnesota 12.6 7.7 5.4 10.8 -13.3 4.63
45 Tulane 6.3 -22.2 11.0 14.5 13.2 4.56
46 Texas St 5.5 6.3 -- -6.4 12.6 4.51
47 Utah 9.0 9.0 -11.1 11.0 -- 4.47
48 Notre Dame 6.3 -10.9 22.0 18.0 -13.3 4.41
49 Nebraska 9.0 8.1 -6.7 7.2 -- 4.41
50 Ohio -8.2 9.0 9.0 7.2 -- 4.25
51 Wash St -9.1 22.0 7.2 8.1 -8.0 4.04
52 BYU -9.1 21.6 -- -11.1 12.6 3.50
53 West Virginia 4.5 -4.5 7.2 -8.0 18.0 3.43
54 USC 6.6 -11.1 25.2 9.0 -12.7 3.39
55 Michigan St 10.8 5.4 6.3 -9.1 -- 3.35
56 Tennessee 8.1 12.6 -8.2 -5.5 9.0 3.21
57 Rutgers -18.2 7.2 5.4 18.0 -- 3.10
58 Utah St -9.1 8.8 9.0 -9.1 15.4 3.00
59 Miss St -5.5 8.1 -9.1 18.0 -- 2.89
60 TCU -5.0 6.3 -4.5 -- 14.4 2.79
61 Navy -- 22.0 8.1 -- -21.8 2.76
62 Oregon St -44.4 5.4 22.0 5.5 25.2 2.73
63 Vanderbilt -11.1 7.2 -4.5 6.6 12.6 2.15
64 Syracuse -9.1 -6.4 9.0 14.4 -- 1.99
65 Colorado 13.2 5.4 -- -- -12.7 1.96
66 Boston College 4.5 21.6 -12.7 -- -6.7 1.68
67 Arkansas 10.8 4.5 6.3 -9.1 -6.7 1.17
68 Duke 8.1 13.2 -15.6 -11.1 9.0 0.73
69 Nevada -7.3 6.3 -9.1 6.3 4.5 0.15
70 UNLV -12.7 -16.4 9.0 7.2 13.2 0.06
71 Rice -6.4 -- 18.0 -22.2 9.0 -0.40
72 Boise St -7.3 8.1 6.3 -18.2 9.0 -0.41
73 We Kentucky 11.0 -14.5 -18.2 8.1 10.8 -0.57
74 Buffalo -5.5 -9.1 4.5 -- 7.8 -0.57
75 La Lafayette -10.9 -12.7 9.0 11.0 -- -0.91
76 Virginia 9.0 -10.0 -- 8.1 -10.9 -0.95
77 Kansas -- 5.4 -18.2 9.0 -- -1.26
78 Old Dominion -21.8 -7.3 9.0 4.5 9.0 -1.32
79 Mid Tenn St 6.3 -10.9 11.0 11.0 -25.5 -1.61
80 No Texas 7.2 -18.2 9.0 -6.4 -- -2.09
81 Wyoming -9.1 7.2 6.3 8.8 -25.5 -2.45
82 Toledo -5.5 -10.9 5.4 15.4 -18.2 -2.75
83 La Monroe -7.3 7.2 22.0 -9.1 -26.7 -2.77
84 Marshall 7.2 9.0 -18.2 -9.1 -- -2.77
85 Texas 8.1 -21.8 -15.6 18.0 -- -2.82
86 Indiana 7.2 -22.2 14.4 -13.3 -- -3.49
87 California -6.7 4.5 -6.7 -- -7.3 -4.03
88 Wake Forest 6.3 -10.9 -22.2 13.2 -8.2 -4.36
89 Army 5.4 -25.5 -6.7 -13.3 15.4 -4.93
90 Colorado St -13.3 -18.2 5.4 -6.4 5.4 -5.42
91 Troy 9.0 9.0 -18.2 -18.2 -9.1 -5.49
92 So Methodist -6.7 4.5 -- -6.4 -14.5 -5.77
93 Arkansas St 9.0 -12.7 9.0 -25.5 -12.7 -6.58
94 Kentucky -22.2 7.2 -6.7 -- -6.7 -7.09
95 Purdue -14.5 4.5 -11.1 -7.3 -7.8 -7.24
96 Kent St 4.5 -26.7 -7.3 -14.5 6.6 -7.48
97 Memphis -- -13.3 -22.2 12.6 -- -7.65
98 Texas-SA 9.0 -7.8 -10.9 6.6 -35.6 -7.73
99 UAB -18.2 -7.3 -- 6.3 -12.7 -7.97
100 So Alabama -44.4 11.0 9.0 -- -9.1 -8.38
101 Kansas St -44.4 6.3 12.6 -9.1 -- -8.66
102 No Carolina -5.5 10.8 -- -9.1 -31.1 -8.71
103 Tulsa -25.5 9.0 -7.3 -- -13.3 -9.27
104 San Jose St 6.3 -6.4 -- -10.9 -31.1 -10.52
105 Florida Atl -6.4 -21.8 6.6 -22.2 -18.2 -12.40
106 La Tech -12.7 5.4 -22.2 -9.1 -31.1 -13.95
107 New Mexico -22.2 5.5 -12.7 -- -26.7 -14.03
108 Iowa St -44.4 -- -11.1 -- 13.2 -14.12
109 Eastern Mich 4.5 -14.5 -10.9 -35.6 -- -14.13
110 Central Mich -8.2 4.5 -22.0 -31.1 -14.5 -14.27
111 Akron -29.1 4.5 -4.5 -22.2 -21.8 -14.64
112 Idaho -29.1 -29.1 -5.6 -16.4 4.5 -15.12
113 UTEP -- -22.2 7.7 -26.7 -21.8 -15.75
114 Miami, OH -29.1 -14.5 -- -13.3 -14.5 -17.88
115 Hawai'i -13.3 -10.9 -- -25.5 -22.2 -17.98
116 San Diego St -62.2 -7.3 -- -11.1 5.5 -18.78
117 Western Mich -10.9 -44.4 -6.4 -18.2 -26.7 -21.31
118 Air Force 6.3 -35.6 -25.5 -35.6 -18.2 -21.69
119 UMass -16.4 -44.4 -12.7 -13.3 -- -21.72
120 So Miss -22.2 -16.4 -12.7 -- -36.4 -21.92
121 Connecticut -53.3 -- -6.7 -5.6 -25.5 -22.75
122 Temple -12.7 -22.2 -44.4 -- -18.2 -24.39
123 Florida Int -7.3 -35.6 -62.2 -9.1 -- -28.54
124 So Florida -71.1 -10.9 -26.7 -- -7.8 -29.12
125 New Mexico St -16.4 -15.6 -62.2 -8.2 -44.4 -29.35
126 Georgia St -44.4 -62.2 -14.5 -44.4 -- -41.41

Notes:
  • Any team with <-15.00 point average was relegated to FCS status
  • Any team with >15.00 point average was considered Top-Tier team
  • Any AP Top 25 team was given Top-Tier status unless point average was below 10.00
  • Notice four SEC teams & Michigan were deemed Top-Tier even though average was below 15.00
  • Alabama & Oregon are tied for top spot. All ties are broken by sorting by the most recent scores
  • Northwestern & Northern Illinois appear over-ranked in our system, though the more data points should even their averages out

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